Sunday, 24 September 2023

Pain, Courage & Strap in - The vocabulary behind the disconnect at Southampton

 


3 - 1 - 4. Southampton’s record having lost to Middlesbrough Saturday afternoon. The four in the defeat column occurring in successive games as September threatens to end with zero points - Leeds on the 30th a veritable last chance saloon to rectify this. After beating Sheffield Wednesday on the opening night, “HMS Piss the League” emerged as jovial fan rhetoric but now murmurs of a “Martin out” maxim is growing, a far cry from the whimsical optimism of August.


The notion of a sacking a manager at this stage is premature as realistically it’s still early days. Granted it may not feel like it having played 8 games already however due to the sheer length of the Championship season there is still a whopping 38 games to go. Effectively a full length Premier League season awaits us, perhaps not the best analogy given the our last full PL season. 


Ultimately the rise of the stated maxim stems deeper beyond merely four poor results and lends itself to a greater narrative surrounding the relationship between the club and the fans.


Southampton is undergoing a hard reset. As RM put himself “if anyone expected there not to be any pain when it’s such a big change then they are very naive.” The proverbial rod made for his [RM] back is that the start of the season was so promising. An unbeaten August, culminating in 10 points, is naturally going see an upsurge in fan expectation. The subsequent decline becomes far more impactful. There is a poignant caveat regarding the swing in opponent quality from August to September but from fan perception sunshine & roses has reverted back to chastening flashbacks of the last campaign. 


The “pain” coming after early gains.


In addition to the “naive” comment, RM has stressed the need to ‘strap in’ in relation to potential peaks and troughs this season. A rousing request more befitting a cinematic blockbuster than a football team with current delusions of grandeur - albeit an understandable request given the evident overhaul tactically.   


Furthermore RM iterates the buzzword courage regarding the teams style of play in the knowledge that “there will be sticky moments but when you see it through and ride through this moment it will be brilliant.” A sort of karmic merry go round of fans trusting the players to exude the required courage to perform a certain way, is a challenging concept in an environment that demands instantaneous results alongside offering minimal margin for error.


The underlying culture shift at Southampton certainly requires fan involvement although this engagement is, and will be, a function of mood. Barring the Sunderland fiasco the other three games in this run of defeats have all had moments in which the mood was positive thus the fan/team connection is there. After Edozie reduced the deficit against Leicester there was a palpable feeling that Saints, unlike many times last season, were not down and out. This feeling present again versus Ipswich as Southampton pushed for an equaliser only for Adams to be denied by the keeper’s face. Even the lesser experienced sensation of being a tad in control was present in the first half of the Middlesbrough match prior to their equaliser.


The above nicely demonstrates the beginning of the disconnect causing the “Martin out” noise. The aforementioned sticky moments are common place in football, pretty much every team in every match experiences these. The problem is these moments are being ruthless punished by opposing teams, subsequently the supporters get jittery when situations repeat themselves and anxiety leaks out of the stands like a dense fog. Naturally the players pick up on this and make further errors, ending up in a what came first the chicken or the egg style debate.


Sounds obvious but Southampton (sooner rather than later) simply need to get over the line, proving to both supporters and themselves they have the capacity to overcome challenges. This eureka moment, this lightbulb moment is exactly what is needed to quieten down the murmurs surrounding the manager.

Friday, 15 September 2023

Goliath Vs Goliath: Mano A Mano

 

*Disclaimer

The more regular In The Channel reader will have noticed a lack of post game coverage on the most recent match against Sunderland. Let’s be real, you guys didn’t want to read about it just as much as I didn’t want to write about it however please see below the draft that didn’t make the blog


“Not good”


Moving on……


Southampton Vs Leicester is arguably the marque game in the Championship this season. Two sides that within the last decade had been playing European football now languishing in the English second tier. Not surprising then that Sky Sports snapped up the opportunity to broadcast the match. A Friday night footballing aperitif.


While this may give Saints fans a harrowing flashback (I’m not going to mention THE scoreline don’t worry, Sky will do that enough anyway) this encounter pits two of the pre season favourites against one and other. Not only that it pits Martin Vs Maresca, the battle of the heavy possession ideologies.


Stylistically Southampton and Leicester are quite similar, both teams like to pass the ball - a lot. Sitting first and second respectively in the passing statistics for the Championship. In terms of average possession these sides sit top of the pile for that metric too.


The parallels continue away from the tiki taka desires strecting onto how both coaches operate structurally and the demands of certain players. Primarily RM and Maresca adopt a 4-3-3 shape utilising speedy, dribbley wide forwards to go 1v1 with defensive counterparts alongside No. 10s who disrupt defences to create goalscoring opportunities. 


Considering the kindred footballing philosophies, the players on Friday night have the opportunity to go mano a mano for the three points. Allowing us to witness top Championship talent battle it out.


Key examples of these gladiatorial duels between the sides are Samuel Edozie vs Stephy Mavididi and Adam Armstrong Vs Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall.




Firstly the two wingers (Edozie & Mavididi) typically operate from the left so while they will not collide with each another in the traditional sense - being on opposite sides of the pitch - the battle for superiority between the two will surely have a bearing on the result. 


Leading their sides in average carry distance, on average Edozie carries the ball 12.9m compared to 13.5m for Mavididi. Edozie (5) and Mavididi (8) lead their respective sides in shot ending carries however they have only scored once each in the opening 5 games. Mavididi does have one assist, in contrast Edozie has none.


The attacking returns not exactly setting the Championship alight but the underlying numbers here do match portray their managers desires. Both wingers are direct, dribbling at defenders causing havoc - a moment of silence please for the QPR defender Edozie left on his backside. 


Other players that profile similarly in their roles, thus destined to do battle, are Kiernan Dewsbury-HallI (KDH) & Adam Armstrong. Archetypal no. 10s, although Armstrong less so, playing between the midfield and defence lines. 


KDH and Armstrong lead their sides for goal involvement. 2 goals + 1 assist for KDH compared to 4 goals + 1 Assist for Armstrong. The Leicester City man featuring in 42.8% of their goals this season meanwhile Armstrong involved in 50% of total goals for the Saints.


The heavy involvement of these two highlights the importance their respective managers place on the No. 10. 


*It is noteworthy that Edozie and Armstrong are the only two attacking players to have started every league game for Southampton this season. The numbers demonstrating the two operate exactly as RM instructs, retaining their starting XI places


For the Championship this match is Goliath Vs Goliath - relative to the rest of the league. Yet with such similarities between the side’s stylistically and functionally the eventual winner may come down to who outperforms their counterpart on the night. Somewhat amusing that for such a high profile clash a simple “My *blank* is better than yours” could decide the outcome.